NYI
4–2
NYR
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 36-27-15
4–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 53-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
3160814428
NYR
011210012233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 36-27-15 · NYR 53-22-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders beat the Rangers
The Islanders were outchanced (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Semyon Varlamov stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.7 xG · 28 shots
NYR 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
2.2 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 1.5
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mike Reilly · 1st 04:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 11:47 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 13:38 · 3–0 · poke shot, a great chance (53%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 07:47 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Adam Fox · 2nd 15:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 19:54 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 41.
NYI 41%NYR 59%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mike Reilly · 1st 04:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 11:47 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 13:38 · GWG · 3–0
Poke shot, a great chance (53%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 07:47 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Adam Fox · 2nd 15:01 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 19:54 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
