NYI
5–4
PIT
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-27-16
5–4
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 38-32-12
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
11221129532
PIT
115213116444
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
NYI 39-27-16 · PIT 38-32-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Islanders beat the Penguins
The Islanders were outchanced (3.8 to 3.2 expected goals) but won 5–4 anyway. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 44 and 32 shots on goal.
NYI 3.2 xG · 32 shots
PIT 3.8 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 04:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 18:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:14 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 13:19 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 14:37 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 19:44 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Samuel Bolduc · 3rd 01:36 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Jeff Carter · 3rd 10:56 · 4–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 14:27 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 40.
NYI 40%PIT 60%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 04:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 18:29 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 06:14 · PP · 1–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 13:19 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 14:37 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 19:44 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Samuel Bolduc · 3rd 01:36 · PP · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Jeff Carter · 3rd 10:56 · PP · 4–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 14:27 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Alexander Romanov, Samuel Bolduc · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
8
Sidney Crosby, Michael Bunting · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–4
No penalties
Goaltending
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
