NYI
2–3
CAR
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 0-3
2–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01525011231
CAR
2911003322
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Islanders trail the series 0–3
NYI 0-3 · CAR 3-0 · Game 3 — the Islanders trail the series 0–3
Islanders fell to the Hurricanes
The Islanders created the better chances (2.2 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 22 shots on goal.
NYI 2.2 xG · 31 shots
CAR 1.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brent Burns · 1st 04:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 10:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 02:48 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 07:14 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 17:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 64.
NYI 64%CAR 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brent Burns · 1st 04:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 10:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 02:48 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 07:14 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 17:39 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Andrei Svechnikov, Jalen Chatfield · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/8 saves · 0 GA · 0.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
