NYI
3–2
CAR
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 1-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
NYI
061811101010335
CAR
180131501800244
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Islanders trail the series 1–3
NYI 1-3 · CAR 3-1 · Game 4 — the Islanders trail the series 1–3
Islanders beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (4.1 to 4.1 expected goals); the Islanders won it in overtime on Barzal's goal. Semyon Varlamov stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.1 expected goals to 4.1, on 35 and 44 shots on goal.
NYI 4.1 xG · 35 shots
CAR 4.1 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
OT
1.6 · 0.9
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 08:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 10:10 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 01:38 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 14:08 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 2OT 01:24 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 50.
NYI 50%CAR 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 08:00 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 10:10 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 01:38 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 14:08 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 2OT 01:24 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
42/44 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
