New York Islanders
NYI · 0-0-1
4–5
Final / OTL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 2-0-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
112063900427
UTA
16192813526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 0-0-1 · UTA 2-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.3 expected goals); the Islanders lost it in overtime on Guenther's goal. Semyon Varlamov allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
NYI 3.0 xG · 27 shots
UTA 3.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 11:10 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Lawson Crouse · 1st 19:01 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 13:07 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 01:03 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 06:52 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 07:37 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Maxim Tsyplakov · 3rd 17:53 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 18:06 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Dylan Guenther · OT 02:18 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 46.
NYI 46%UTA 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 11:10 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Lawson Crouse · 1st 19:01 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Barrett Hayton · 2nd 13:07 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 01:03 · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 06:52 · SH · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
6
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 07:37 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Maxim Tsyplakov · 3rd 17:53 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 18:06 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Dylan Guenther · OT 02:18 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Mikhail Sergachev, Clayton Keller · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.