NYI
3–6
FLA
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 3-3-2
3–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 6-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
3907012328
FLA
1927313629
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 3-3-2 · FLA 6-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Panthers
The Islanders let a 3–0 lead get away: the Panthers came back with 6 unanswered goals — Samoskevich's equalizer — and won 3–6. Semyon Varlamov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.1, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 3.1 xG · 28 shots
FLA 3.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dennis Cholowski · 1st 01:32 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 06:01 · 2–0 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:41 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 13:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:38 · 3–2 · poke shot, a great chance (63%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 18:16 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:19 · 3–4 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 09:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 17:43 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 38.
NYI 38%FLA 62%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dennis Cholowski · 1st 01:32 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 06:01 · 2–0
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:41 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 13:27 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:38 · 3–2
Poke shot, a great chance (63%)
6
Mackie Samoskevich · 2nd 18:16 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:19 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 09:49 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 17:43 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
6
Dmitry Kulikov, Spencer Knight · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
