NYI
4–3
PIT
Final / SO · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 5-6-2
4–3
Final / SOW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 5-7-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
NYI
06110210001426
PIT
01221417020335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 5-6-2 · PIT 5-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Penguins
Down 1–3 in the 3rd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Pageau's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
NYI 2.4 xG · 26 shots
PIT 3.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 05:27 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:21 · 1–1 · bat shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 13:37 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:44 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 09:41 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 12:48 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 38.
NYI 38%PIT 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 05:27 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:21 · 1–1
Bat shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 13:37 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:44 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 09:41 · PP · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 12:48 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Islanders
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
