NYI
4–3
CAR
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 10-11-7
4–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 17-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01141202425
CAR
11012119331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 10-11-7 · CAR 17-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Islanders won 4–3. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 25 and 31 shots on goal.
NYI 2.6 xG · 25 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 15:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 06:05 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 09:23 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (44%)
4
· 2nd 10:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 16:16 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Bo Horvat · 2nd 18:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 19:11 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 48.
NYI 48%CAR 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 15:43 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 06:05 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 09:23 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (44%)
4
· 2nd 10:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 16:16 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Bo Horvat · 2nd 18:55 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 19:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
