New York Islanders
NYI · 13-15-7
1–7
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 12-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
05111012128
BUF
2831225725
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 13-15-7 · BUF 12-19-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.2 expected goals); the Islanders lost 1–7. Ilya Sorokin allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
NYI 2.0 xG · 28 shots
BUF 2.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 02:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jiri Kulich · 1st 16:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 06:53 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Zach Benson · 2nd 15:45 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Jack Quinn · 2nd 18:21 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 19:05 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 10:07 · 1–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 15:49 · 1–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 46.
NYI 46%BUF 54%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 02:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jiri Kulich · 1st 16:49 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 06:53 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Zach Benson · 2nd 15:45 · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Jack Quinn · 2nd 18:21 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 19:05 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 10:07 · EN · 1–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 15:49 · 1–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.