New York Islanders
NYI · 17-20-7
3–5
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 20-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
1806215329
PHI
0831125524
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
NYI 17-20-7 · PHI 20-20-6 · First meeting this season — the Islanders trail the season series 0–1
Islanders fell to the Flyers
The Islanders were outchanced (3.3 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 3–5. The Flyers owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 24 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 2.6 xG · 29 shots
PHI 3.3 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
3rd
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 09:21 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sean Couturier · 2nd 05:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 09:29 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Morgan Frost · 2nd 13:41 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 00:30 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Cam York · 3rd 05:16 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:16 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Noah Cates · 3rd 18:48 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 39.
NYI 39%PHI 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 09:21 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sean Couturier · 2nd 05:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 09:29 · SH · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Morgan Frost · 2nd 13:41 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 00:30 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Cam York · 3rd 05:16 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Noah Cates · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.