New York Islanders
NYI · 20-20-7
3–1
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 22-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
2611308327
PHI
1707016130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 20-20-7 · PHI 22-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.3 expected goals); the Islanders won 3–1. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
NYI 2.1 xG · 27 shots
PHI 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 14:14 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Duclair · 1st 17:08 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 13:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 48.
NYI 48%PHI 52%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 14:14 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Duclair · 1st 17:08 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:03 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 13:56 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.