New York Islanders
NYI · 22-20-7
5–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 29-21-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
01117410528
COL
01411216232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
NYI 22-20-7 · COL 29-21-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–0
Islanders beat the Avalanche
The Islanders were outchanced (3.9 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.5 xG · 28 shots
COL 3.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 2nd 04:11 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 13:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 01:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 11:23 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jack Drury · 3rd 14:55 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alexander Romanov · 3rd 17:31 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:50 · 5–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 28.
NYI 28%COL 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 2nd 04:11 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 13:00 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 01:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 11:23 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jack Drury · 3rd 14:55 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alexander Romanov · 3rd 17:31 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 5–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.