NYI
7–4
NSH
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 27-25-7
7–4
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 21-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
3192927735
NSH
03212214429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 27-25-7 · NSH 21-31-7 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Predators
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.5 expected goals); the Islanders won 7–4. Juuse Saros allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.5, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 3.3 xG · 35 shots
NSH 3.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.3 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.8
3rd
0.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 02:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 12:27 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 19:31 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 01:03 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 02:38 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Marc Del Gaizo · 2nd 04:58 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Brock Nelson · 2nd 16:21 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 05:21 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Cole Smith · 3rd 05:51 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Cole Smith · 3rd 18:56 · 6–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Ilya Sorokin · 3rd 19:48 · 7–4 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 46.
NYI 46%NSH 54%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 02:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 12:27 · PP · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Bo Horvat · 1st 19:31 · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 01:03 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 02:38 · SH · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Marc Del Gaizo · 2nd 04:58 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Brock Nelson · 2nd 16:21 · GWG · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 05:21 · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Cole Smith · 3rd 05:51 · 6–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Cole Smith · 3rd 18:56 · 6–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Ilya Sorokin · 3rd 19:48 · EN · 7–4
into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
7
Alexander Romanov, Simon Holmstrom · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5–2
3rd period
8
, Jean-Gabriel Pageau · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6–2
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
