New York Islanders
NYI · 28-26-7
3–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 42-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
1171715329
WPG
01011315228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 28-26-7 · WPG 42-16-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Jets
The Islanders were outchanced (2.9 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. The Jets scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 2.1 xG · 29 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:49 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 01:33 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 08:48 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 04:03 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 35.
NYI 35%WPG 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 16:49 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 01:33 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 08:48 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 04:03 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:51 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.