New York Islanders
NYI · 30-28-8
4–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 41-24-3
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
012010412434
FLA
0129014224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 30-28-8 · FLA 41-24-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders beat the Panthers
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Islanders erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Tsyplakov's equalizer — and won 4–2. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.6, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 3.2 xG · 34 shots
FLA 3.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
1.5 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:00 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 04:48 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 3rd 06:29 · 1–2 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Maxim Tsyplakov · 3rd 12:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Noah Dobson · 3rd 12:33 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 19:53 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 45.
NYI 45%FLA 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 01:00 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 04:48 · PP · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 3rd 06:29 · 1–2
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Maxim Tsyplakov · 3rd 12:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Noah Dobson · 3rd 12:33 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Simon Holmstrom · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.