NYI
4–3
MTL
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-28-8
4–3
Final / OTW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 33-27-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
17171813425
MTL
11501021501341
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
NYI 32-28-8 · MTL 33-27-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 2–1
Islanders beat the Canadiens
The Islanders were outchanced (4.3 to 2.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Horvat's goal anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 41 and 25 shots on goal.
NYI 2.9 xG · 25 shots
MTL 4.3 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
· 1st 11:58 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 16:40 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 02:31 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Patrik Laine · 3rd 04:32 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 14:16 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Bo Horvat · OT 03:37 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 30.
NYI 30%MTL 70%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 05:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
· 1st 11:58 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 16:40 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Bo Horvat · 3rd 02:31 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Patrik Laine · 3rd 04:32 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 14:16 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Bo Horvat · OT 03:37 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
