NYI
1–4
TBL
Final · L
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-32-10
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-25-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
11009010129
TBL
1112617424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
NYI 32-32-10 · TBL 44-25-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders trail the season series 1–2
Islanders fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.9 expected goals); the Islanders lost 1–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 3.2 xG · 29 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 08:46 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 10:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 08:09 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Victor Hedman · 2nd 10:41 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 16:29 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 55.
NYI 55%TBL 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 08:46 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 10:57 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 08:09 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Victor Hedman · 2nd 10:41 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 16:29 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
