NYI
3–1
MIN
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 33-32-10
3–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 41-29-7
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
0421419327
MIN
0111908128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 33-32-10 · MIN 41-29-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.2 expected goals); the Islanders won 3–1. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
NYI 2.5 xG · 27 shots
MIN 2.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 01:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 02:18 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:02 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 03:36 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 56.
NYI 56%MIN 44%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 01:42 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 02:18 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 04:02 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 03:36 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
