NYI
4–1
WSH
Final · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 34-32-10
4–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 49-19-9
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
251819422
WSH
0819012129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 34-32-10 · WSH 49-19-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Capitals
The Islanders earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 22 and 29 shots on goal.
NYI 3.5 xG · 22 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 07:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 09:00 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 07:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Marc Gatcomb · 2nd 10:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 04:20 · 4–1 · poke shot, a great chance (47%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 66.
NYI 66%WSH 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bo Horvat · 1st 07:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 09:00 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 07:26 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Marc Gatcomb · 2nd 10:26 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 04:20 · 4–1
Poke shot, a great chance (47%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
