NYI 2–1 TBL Final · W
Islanders/Schedule/Recap Tue, Dec 2, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
New York Islanders
NYI · 14-10-3
2–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 16-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT NYI 091817224 TBL 0901319131 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 14-10-3 · TBL 16-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0

Islanders beat the Lightning

The Islanders were outchanced (4.0 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.

NYI 2.0 xG · 24 shots TBL 4.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 0.6 · 1.0
2nd 0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing 0.5 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 20.
NYI 20%TBL 80%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 6 penalties
← Islanders shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
05:30 Nick Paul· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
12:53 Kyle MacLean· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
1
00:55 Bo Horvat
Maxim Shabanov · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
1–0
PEN
03:49 Calum Ritchie· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
17:39 Darren Raddysh· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
01:03 Nikita Kucherov· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2
05:30 Anthony Duclair GWG
Calum Ritchie, Tony DeAngelo · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–0
PEN
07:54 Tony DeAngelo· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
Emil Lilleberg, Nick Paul · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–1
Goaltending
+3.0
vs expected
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 4.0 xGA Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
0.0
vs expected
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team NYITBL
Shots on goal
24
31
Expected goals
2.0
4.0
Hits
19
14
Blocks
7
22
Faceoffs
48%
52%
Power play
0/3
0/3
Penalty minutes
6
6
The Islanders went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Lightning power plays.