New York Islanders
NYI · 14-10-3
2–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 16-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
091817224
TBL
0901319131
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 14-10-3 · TBL 16-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Lightning
The Islanders were outchanced (4.0 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
NYI 2.0 xG · 24 shots
TBL 4.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bo Horvat · 2nd 00:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 05:30 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dominic James · 3rd 16:26 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 20.
NYI 20%TBL 80%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bo Horvat · 2nd 00:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
2
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 05:30 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Dominic James · 3rd 16:26 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:30
Nick Paul· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:53
Kyle MacLean· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:49
Calum Ritchie· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:39
Darren Raddysh· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:03
Nikita Kucherov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:54
Tony DeAngelo· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Islanders went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Lightning power plays.