New York Islanders
NYI · 15-10-3
6–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 19-2-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI
216316110642
COL
01927112338
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 15-10-3 · COL 19-2-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.1 expected goals); the Islanders won 6–3. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.1, on 42 and 38 shots on goal.
NYI 3.4 xG · 42 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle MacLean · 1st 05:56 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 18:20 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bo Horvat · 2nd 06:58 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Adam Pelech · 2nd 07:59 · 4–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 08:39 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:04 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 18:46 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:27 · 5–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 18:45 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 54.
NYI 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle MacLean · 1st 05:56 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 18:20 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bo Horvat · 2nd 06:58 · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Adam Pelech · 2nd 07:59 · GWG · 4–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 08:39 · 4–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:04 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 18:46 · PP · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:27 · 5–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Casey Cizikas · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
05:56
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:35
Martin Necas· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:16
Artturi Lehkonen· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:47
Mathew Barzal· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:12
Cale Makar· Tripping
Barzal scored on this power play
Minor
7
Maxim Shabanov, Bo Horvat · Power play (Makar, tripping) · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:11
Matthew Schaefer· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:42
Scott Mayfield· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Josh Manson· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Islanders went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 3 Avalanche power plays.