NYI 3–2 TBL Final / SO · W
Islanders/Schedule/Recap Sat, Dec 13, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
New York Islanders
NYI · 19-11-3
3–2
Final / SOW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-11-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT NYI 290106011317 TBL 0811718010234 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 3–0
NYI 19-11-3 · TBL 18-11-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Islanders lead the season series 3–0

Islanders beat the Lightning

The Islanders were outchanced (4.5 to 2.1 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Ilya Sorokin stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 34 and 17 shots on goal.

NYI 2.1 xG · 17 shots TBL 4.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st 0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing 0.2 · 2.9
3rd 1.0 · 0.5
OT 0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 18.
NYI 18%TBL 82%

Goals and penalties

4 goals · 9 penalties
← Islanders shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
01:12 Brayden Point· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
01:45 Maxim Shabanov· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
02:11 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Hooking
Schaefer scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
1
03:05 Matthew Schaefer PP
Anthony Duclair, Mathew Barzal · Power play (D'Astous, hooking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2
10:16 Calum Ritchie
Anthony Duclair · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2–0
PEN
20:00 Brandon Hagel· Abuse of officials
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
01:22 Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
2 min
Bench minor
PEN
08:17 Travis Mitchell· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:20 Casey Cizikas· Tripping
Raddysh scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
3
10:13 Darren Raddysh PP
Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel · Power play (Cizikas, tripping) · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
2–1
PEN
13:50 Simon Holmstrom· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
4
03:20 J.J. Moser
Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
05:01 Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
Shootout
1 Jake Guentzel Save
2 Mathew Barzal Goal
3 Brayden Point Goal
4 Simon Holmstrom Save
5 Nikita Kucherov Save
6 Emil Heineman Goal
Goaltending
+2.5
vs expected
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 4.5 xGA Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.1
vs expected
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team NYITBL
Shots on goal
17
34
Expected goals
2.1
4.5
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
49%
51%
Power play
1/4
1/5
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Islanders went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Lightning power plays.