NYI
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-15-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 19-15-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
071621012425
TOR
072111300321
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
NYI 23-15-4 · TOR 19-15-7 · First meeting this season — the Islanders lead the season series 1–0
Islanders beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.6 expected goals); the Islanders won it in overtime on Schaefer's goal. Joseph Woll allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 25 and 21 shots on goal.
NYI 2.2 xG · 25 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
OT
0.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Pelech · 2nd 01:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 09:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:19 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matthew Schaefer · 3rd 11:10 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Nick Robertson · 3rd 12:12 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Emil Heineman · 3rd 17:15 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Schaefer · OT 04:11 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 42.
NYI 42%TOR 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Pelech · 2nd 01:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 09:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:19 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Matthew Schaefer · 3rd 11:10 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Nick Robertson · 3rd 12:12 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Emil Heineman · 3rd 17:15 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Schaefer · OT 04:11 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Mathew Barzal· High-sticking
Mathew Barzal· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:50
Max Domi· Cross-checking
Max Domi· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:50
Ryan Pulock· Slashing
Ryan Pulock· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:52
John Tavares· Slashing
John Tavares· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Islanders went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Maple Leafs power play.