NYI
5–4
PIT
Final / OT · W
New York Islanders
NYI · 31-21-5
5–4
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 28-15-12
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYI
210052711523
PIT
11121211200435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYI 31-21-5 · PIT 28-15-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Islanders beat the Penguins
The Islanders were outchanced (3.6 to 2.8 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Horvat's goal anyway. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
NYI 2.8 xG · 23 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 12:09 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:41 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
3
Matthew Schaefer · 1st 19:56 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Egor Chinakhov · 2nd 03:52 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 14:09 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 08:37 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 10:40 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 15:24 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Bo Horvat · OT 00:52 · 5–4 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Islanders win 37.
NYI 37%PIT 63%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 4 penalties← Islanders shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Mantha · 1st 12:09 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:41 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
3
Matthew Schaefer · 1st 19:56 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Egor Chinakhov · 2nd 03:52 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Bryan Rust · 2nd 14:09 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 08:37 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 10:40 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 15:24 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Bo Horvat · OT 00:52 · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:54
Scott Mayfield· Hooking
Scott Mayfield· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:08
Erik Karlsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Erik Karlsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:07
Carson Soucy· Holding
Carson Soucy· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:52
Sidney Crosby· Tripping
Sidney Crosby· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Islanders went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Penguins power plays.