New York Rangers
NYR · 0-1
3–4
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDOT2OT3OTT
NYR
115280110340000368
PIT
0103250120360010483
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Rangers trail the series 0–1
NYR 0-1 · PIT 1-0 · Game 1 — the Rangers trail the series 0–1
Rangers fell to the Penguins
The Rangers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Penguins came back with four unanswered goals — Rust's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Malkin's goal. Igor Shesterkin stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 7.5 expected goals to 4.4, on 83 and 68 shots on goal.
NYR 4.4 xG · 68 shots
PIT 7.5 xG · 83 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 3.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
OT
2.6 · 2.6
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
3OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fox · 1st 09:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Copp · 2nd 03:08 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 04:32 · 2–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 11:47 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 17:07 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Bryan Rust · 2nd 18:30 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3OT 05:58 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 19.
NYR 19%PIT 81%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fox · 1st 09:19 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Copp · 2nd 03:08 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 04:32 · 2–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 11:47 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Chris Kreider · 2nd 17:07 · SH · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Bryan Rust · 2nd 18:30 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3OT 05:58 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
79/83 saves · 4 GA · 7.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
48/51 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.