New York Rangers
NYR · 1-1
5–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
11421729540
PIT
111114016241
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
NYR 1-1 · PIT 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Rangers beat the Penguins
The Rangers were outchanced (4.2 to 3.5 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Igor Shesterkin stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.5, on 41 and 40 shots on goal.
NYR 3.5 xG · 40 shots
PIT 4.2 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.8 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Copp · 1st 06:50 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 08:52 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 02:59 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 12:06 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 18:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 08:02 · 4–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 09:49 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 41.
NYR 41%PIT 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Copp · 1st 06:50 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 08:52 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 02:59 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Chris Kreider · 2nd 12:06 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 18:34 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 08:02 · 4–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 09:49 · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.