New York Rangers
NYR · 4-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 3-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYR
181121713430
PIT
11121801102342
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Rangers lead the series 4–3
NYR 4-3 · PIT 3-4 · Game 7 — the Rangers lead the series 4–3
Rangers beat the Penguins
The Rangers were outchanced (3.8 to 2.3 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Panarin's goal anyway. Tristan Jarry allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
NYR 2.3 xG · 30 shots
PIT 3.8 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 07:36 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Danton Heinen · 1st 18:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:18 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 11:23 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 17:24 · 2–3 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
6
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 14:15 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Artemi Panarin · OT 04:46 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 28.
NYR 28%PIT 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 07:36 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Danton Heinen · 1st 18:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:18 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 11:23 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 17:24 · SH · 2–3
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
6
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 14:15 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Artemi Panarin · OT 04:46 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.