New York Rangers
NYR · 5-5
3–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
113110110333
CAR
01711809144
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Rangers trail the series 1–2
NYR 5-5 · CAR 6-4 · Game 3 — the Rangers trail the series 1–2
Rangers beat the Hurricanes
The Rangers were outchanced (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Igor Shesterkin stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 44 and 33 shots on goal.
NYR 2.7 xG · 33 shots
CAR 3.6 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 11:54 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 05:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 08:18 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 18:37 · 3–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 35.
NYR 35%CAR 65%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 11:54 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 05:55 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 08:18 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 18:37 · EN · 3–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
43/44 saves · 1 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.