NYR
6–2
TBL
Final · W
New York Rangers
NYR · 9-6
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
1831729634
TBL
112110017239
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Rangers lead the series 1–0
NYR 9-6 · TBL 8-4 · Game 1 — the Rangers lead the series 1–0
Rangers beat the Lightning
The Rangers were outchanced (4.1 to 3.3 expected goals) but won 6–2 anyway. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.3, on 39 and 34 shots on goal.
NYR 3.3 xG · 34 shots
TBL 4.1 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.7 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 01:11 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 07:18 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 07:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ondrej Palat · 2nd 08:32 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Filip Chytil · 2nd 10:09 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Filip Chytil · 2nd 15:43 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 00:30 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 06:06 · 6–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 39.
NYR 39%TBL 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Rangers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 01:11 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 1st 07:18 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 07:50 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ondrej Palat · 2nd 08:32 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Filip Chytil · 2nd 10:09 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Filip Chytil · 2nd 15:43 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 00:30 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 06:06 · PP · 6–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/34 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
