New York Rangers
NYR · 16-10-5
3–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 19-6-6
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
191615320
TOR
1904010123
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
NYR 16-10-5 · TOR 19-6-6 · First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
Rangers beat the Maple Leafs
The Rangers were outchanced (3.0 to 1.5 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Igor Shesterkin stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 23 and 20 shots on goal.
NYR 1.5 xG · 20 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Chytil · 1st 03:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 14:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Jimmy Vesey · 2nd 15:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Jimmy Vesey · 3rd 18:47 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 23.
NYR 23%TOR 77%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Chytil · 1st 03:52 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 14:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Jimmy Vesey · 2nd 15:33 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Jimmy Vesey · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.