New York Rangers
NYR · 15-4-1
1–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
01201113126
BUF
19113317539
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
NYR 15-4-1 · BUF 10-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Rangers fell to the Sabres
The Rangers were outchanced (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 26 shots on goal.
NYR 2.5 xG · 26 shots
BUF 3.2 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 19:33 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 08:08 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:31 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 18:29 · 1–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 19:53 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 40.
NYR 40%BUF 60%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 11:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 19:33 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 08:08 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:31 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 18:29 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 19:53 · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.