New York Rangers
NYR · 19-7-1
3–7
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-6-5
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
13215013331
TOR
41108311730
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Rangers trail the season series 0–1
NYR 19-7-1 · TOR 15-6-5 · First meeting this season — the Rangers trail the season series 0–1
Rangers fell to the Maple Leafs
The Rangers were outchanced (4.1 to 3.6 expected goals) and lost 3–7. Igor Shesterkin allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.6, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
NYR 3.6 xG · 31 shots
TOR 4.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Conor Timmins · 1st 05:07 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Blake Wheeler · 1st 05:42 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 15:20 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:41 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 16:30 · 2–4 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 18:26 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 01:29 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:11 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
David Kampf · 3rd 18:33 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 43.
NYR 43%TOR 57%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Conor Timmins · 1st 05:07 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Blake Wheeler · 1st 05:42 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 15:20 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
5
Mitch Marner · 1st 15:41 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 16:30 · PP · 2–4
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Blake Wheeler · 2nd 18:26 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 01:29 · PP · 3–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:11 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
David Kampf · 3rd 18:33 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.