New York Rangers
NYR · 31-16-3
2–1
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-14-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYR
0110611111229
COL
1140100702133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
NYR 31-16-3 · COL 32-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
Rangers beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.9 expected goals); the Rangers won it in overtime on Lafrenière's goal. Jonathan Quick stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 33 shots on goal.
NYR 2.5 xG · 29 shots
COL 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd
0.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:12 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 11:17 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alexis Lafrenière · OT 01:53 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 43.
NYR 43%COL 57%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:12 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 11:17 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alexis Lafrenière · OT 01:53 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.