New York Rangers
NYR · 50-21-4
2–5
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 33-30-11
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
01001129230
PIT
260737520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers lead the season series 2–1
NYR 50-21-4 · PIT 33-30-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers lead the season series 2–1
Rangers fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.4 expected goals); the Rangers lost 2–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
NYR 2.2 xG · 30 shots
PIT 2.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 00:18 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 10:39 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Emil Bemstrom · 3rd 09:51 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kaapo Kakko · 3rd 10:42 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 16:53 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 17:49 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:15 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 48.
NYR 48%PIT 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bryan Rust · 1st 00:18 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 1st 10:39 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Emil Bemstrom · 3rd 09:51 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kaapo Kakko · 3rd 10:42 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 16:53 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Bryan Rust · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Kris Letang · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.