NYR
4–3
CAR
Final · W
New York Rangers
NYR · 5-0
4–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
3701016423
CAR
1606213325
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Rangers lead the series 1–0
NYR 5-0 · CAR 4-2 · Game 1 — the Rangers lead the series 1–0
Rangers beat the Hurricanes
The Rangers were outchanced (2.8 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 25 and 23 shots on goal.
NYR 1.9 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 02:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 03:48 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 10:05 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 16:28 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 02:48 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 08:21 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:13 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 34.
NYR 34%CAR 66%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Rangers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 02:46 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 03:48 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 10:05 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 16:28 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 02:48 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 08:21 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
