NYR
1–4
CAR
Final · L
New York Rangers
NYR · 7-2
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
091606121
CAR
0909410428
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Rangers lead the series 3–2
NYR 7-2 · CAR 6-4 · Game 5 — the Rangers lead the series 3–2
Rangers fell to the Hurricanes
The Rangers were outchanced (2.8 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
NYR 1.9 xG · 21 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 06:23 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jordan Staal · 3rd 03:33 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 06:39 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 09:56 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:29 · 1–4 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 35.
NYR 35%CAR 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Rangers shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 06:23 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jordan Staal · 3rd 03:33 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 3rd 06:39 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 09:56 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:29 · EN · 1–4
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
