New York Rangers
NYR · 2-0-1
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
11011028428
DET
1901409132
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
NYR 2-0-1 · DET 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
Rangers beat the Red Wings
The Rangers were outchanced (3.7 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Igor Shesterkin stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
NYR 3.1 xG · 28 shots
DET 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 2.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 11:45 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 19:58 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Chris Kreider · 2nd 17:05 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Reilly Smith · 3rd 04:51 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 18:38 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 42.
NYR 42%DET 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 11:45 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 19:58 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Chris Kreider · 2nd 17:05 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Reilly Smith · 3rd 04:51 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 18:38 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.