New York Rangers
NYR · 19-20-2
3–2
Final / OTW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 25-15-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYR
181901213332
NJD
011250601223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 1–2
NYR 19-20-2 · NJD 25-15-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 1–2
Rangers beat the Devils
The Rangers were outchanced (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Carrick's goal anyway. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 23 and 32 shots on goal.
NYR 2.7 xG · 32 shots
NJD 3.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fox · 1st 12:05 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 04:03 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 08:28 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 17:13 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Carrick · OT 02:48 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 34.
NYR 34%NJD 66%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fox · 1st 12:05 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jack Hughes · 2nd 04:03 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 08:28 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 17:13 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Carrick · OT 02:48 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.