New York Rangers
NYR · 31-26-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 40-14-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
NYR
17160301217
WSH
18071813326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 0–3
NYR 31-26-5 · WSH 40-14-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 0–3
Rangers fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.2 expected goals); the Rangers lost it in overtime on Wilson's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 17 and 26 shots on goal.
NYR 2.8 xG · 17 shots
WSH 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 01:04 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 13:37 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Sam Carrick · 2nd 08:05 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Tom Wilson · OT 04:07 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 43.
NYR 43%WSH 57%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 01:04 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Artemi Panarin · 1st 13:37 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Sam Carrick · 2nd 08:05 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:28 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Tom Wilson · OT 04:07 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.