New York Rangers
NYR · 8-7-2
6–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
283416618
NSH
11004216330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
NYR 8-7-2 · NSH 5-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Rangers lead the season series 1–0
Rangers beat the Predators
The Rangers were outchanced (3.0 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Juuse Saros allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 30 and 18 shots on goal.
NYR 2.1 xG · 18 shots
NSH 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 10:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Matthew Wood · 1st 16:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
3
Vladislav Gavrikov · 1st 18:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 01:23 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 07:51 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Will Cuylle · 2nd 19:50 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Matthew Wood · 3rd 12:48 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 13:30 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Wood · 3rd 19:15 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 35.
NYR 35%NSH 65%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 10:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Matthew Wood · 1st 16:16 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
3
Vladislav Gavrikov · 1st 18:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 01:23 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 07:51 · GWG · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Will Cuylle · 2nd 19:50 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Matthew Wood · 3rd 12:48 · PP · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 13:30 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Wood · 3rd 19:15 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:48
Braden Schneider· Tripping
Wood scored on this power play
Minor
2
Michael Bunting, Brady Skjei · Power play (Schneider, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:46
Filip Forsberg· Hooking
Lafrenière scored on this power play
Minor
4
Gabe Perreault, Vincent Trocheck · Power play (Forsberg, hooking) · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3–1
5
Alexis Lafrenière, Urho Vaakanainen · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:40
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:59
Vincent Trocheck· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:11
Will Borgen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:33
Vincent Trocheck· Hooking
Wood scored on this power play
Minor
7
Luke Evangelista, Erik Haula · Power play (Trocheck, hooking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–2
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/12 saves · 5 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Rangers went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Predators power plays.