New York Rangers
NYR · 33-37-9
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 48-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR
1122701320
BUF
2110838527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 1–2
NYR 33-37-9 · BUF 48-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Rangers trail the season series 1–2
Rangers fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.3 expected goals); the Rangers lost 3–5. The Rangers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 20 and 27 shots on goal.
NYR 2.6 xG · 20 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 04:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Zach Benson · 1st 08:58 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (39%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 19:21 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 02:57 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Adam Fox · 2nd 14:44 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:51 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jason Zucker · 3rd 07:14 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
8
Zach Benson · 3rd 18:45 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Rangers win 55.
NYR 55%BUF 45%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 04:40 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Zach Benson · 1st 08:58 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (39%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 19:21 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 02:57 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Adam Fox · 2nd 14:44 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:51 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Jason Zucker · 3rd 07:14 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
8
Zach Benson · 3rd 18:45 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:24
Ryan McLeod· Tripping
Lafrenière scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:23
Adam Fox· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:14
Peyton Krebs· Hooking
Fox scored on this power play
Minor
5
Vincent Trocheck, Mika Zibanejad · Power play (Krebs, hooking) · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:31
Vincent Trocheck· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:35
Vladislav Gavrikov· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:00
Will Borgen· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:44
Josh Norris· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Rangers went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Sabres power plays.