Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-2-0
4–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 4-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0911439432
DAL
11209110231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 4-2-0 · DAL 4-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Stars
The Senators earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, and a 4–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
OTT 3.5 xG · 32 shots
DAL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 06:31 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 19:23 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 04:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:11 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Derick Brassard · 3rd 11:30 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 17:44 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 62.
OTT 62%DAL 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 06:31 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 19:23 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 04:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Shane Pinto · 3rd 10:11 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Derick Brassard · 3rd 11:30 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 17:44 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.