OTT
2–4
MIN
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-3-0
2–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 3-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
1110919229
MIN
213117110440
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 4-3-0 · MIN 3-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Wild
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.3 expected goals); the Senators lost 2–4. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 29 and 40 shots on goal.
OTT 3.0 xG · 29 shots
MIN 3.3 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:47 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 07:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 18:24 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:25 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 04:03 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 17:39 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 46.
OTT 46%MIN 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 03:47 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 07:53 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 18:24 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:25 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 04:03 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 17:39 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
