OTT
4–5
VGK
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-6-0
4–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 10-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
116219111446
VGK
31329010532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 4-6-0 · VGK 10-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (4.2 to 4.4 expected goals); the Senators lost 4–5. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.2 expected goals to 4.4, on 46 and 32 shots on goal.
OTT 4.2 xG · 46 shots
VGK 4.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.4
2nd
2.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Stone · 1st 01:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 04:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Reilly Smith · 1st 09:19 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Whitecloud · 1st 19:28 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 05:15 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
William Carrier · 2nd 10:14 · 1–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:23 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tim Stützle · 2nd 18:39 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Tim Stützle · 3rd 02:34 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 47.
OTT 47%VGK 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Stone · 1st 01:22 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 04:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Reilly Smith · 1st 09:19 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Whitecloud · 1st 19:28 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 05:15 · SH · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
William Carrier · 2nd 10:14 · GWG · 1–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:23 · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tim Stützle · 2nd 18:39 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Tim Stützle · 3rd 02:34 · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
13/13 saves · 0 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
