Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-8-0
4–6
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 4-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
21601926441
VAN
1818412628
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 4-8-0 · VAN 4-6-3 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Canucks
The Senators created the better chances (4.4 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 4–6. Cam Talbot allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 41 and 28 shots on goal.
OTT 4.4 xG · 41 shots
VAN 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 00:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 19:07 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Travis Hamonic · 1st 19:23 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 13:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 01:16 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 08:18 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 14:03 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Jack Studnicka · 3rd 14:59 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 17:09 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 19:15 · 4–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 71.
OTT 71%VAN 29%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Drake Batherson · 1st 00:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 19:07 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Travis Hamonic · 1st 19:23 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 13:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 01:16 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 08:18 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Tim Stützle · 3rd 14:03 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Jack Studnicka · 3rd 14:59 · GWG · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 17:09 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Alex DeBrincat, Jacob Bernard-Docker · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.