OTT
2–4
NYI
Final · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 5-9-1
2–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 11-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
010116112238
NYI
112112211435
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
OTT 5-9-1 · NYI 11-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Senators trail the season series 0–1
Senators fell to the Islanders
The Senators created the better chances (4.1 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Semyon Varlamov stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 38 and 35 shots on goal.
OTT 4.1 xG · 38 shots
NYI 2.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 11:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 08:48 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Noah Dobson · 2nd 13:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 08:21 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 13:08 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:50 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 79.
OTT 79%NYI 21%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 11:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 08:48 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Noah Dobson · 2nd 13:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 08:21 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 13:08 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
