Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-13-1
5–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 8-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
11421629539
SJS
210012015237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 10-13-1 · SJS 8-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators beat the Sharks
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.7 expected goals); the Senators won 5–2. Anton Forsberg stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.7, on 39 and 37 shots on goal.
OTT 3.6 xG · 39 shots
SJS 3.7 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.4 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 07:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 1st 11:03 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 05:22 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 16:40 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 05:18 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:45 · 5–2 · slap shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 49.
OTT 49%SJS 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tomas Hertl · 1st 07:26 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:25 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Tomas Hertl · 1st 11:03 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Claude Giroux · 2nd 05:22 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 16:40 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 05:18 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:45 · 5–2
Slap shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.