OTT
3–2
MTL
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 13-14-2
3–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 14-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
0631609331
MTL
01003212225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
OTT 13-14-2 · MTL 14-13-2 · First meeting this season — the Senators lead the season series 1–0
Senators beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.0 expected goals); the Senators won 3–2. Cam Talbot stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 3.2 xG · 31 shots
MTL 3.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 2nd 01:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 05:41 · 2–0 · between legs shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:02 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Kirby Dach · 3rd 08:05 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 13:12 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 54.
OTT 54%MTL 46%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 2nd 01:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 2nd 05:41 · PP · 2–0
Between legs shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 08:02 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Kirby Dach · 3rd 08:05 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 13:12 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
