OTT
2–3
WSH
Final / OT · L
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-16-3
2–3
Final / OTL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 18-13-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT
150711201225
WSH
11211501112340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
OTT 14-16-3 · WSH 18-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Senators fell to the Capitals
The Senators were outchanced (3.9 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Johansson's goal. The Capitals owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 25 shots on goal.
OTT 2.1 xG · 25 shots
WSH 3.9 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 2.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:50 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 07:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 05:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
4
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:04 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Marcus Johansson · OT 02:04 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 23.
OTT 23%WSH 77%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:50 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 07:01 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 05:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (58%)
4
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:04 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Marcus Johansson · OT 02:04 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
