OTT
6–2
DET
Final · W
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 29-26-4
6–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT
015416211642
DET
191906224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
OTT 29-26-4 · DET 28-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Senators lead the season series 2–1
Senators beat the Red Wings
The Senators earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Magnus Hellberg allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 42 and 24 shots on goal.
OTT 3.8 xG · 42 shots
DET 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 11:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 03:41 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 2nd 05:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 12:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:41 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 00:47 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 15:00 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Senators win 74.
OTT 74%DET 26%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Senators shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 11:48 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 03:41 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 2nd 05:11 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 12:25 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:10 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 17:41 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 00:47 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 15:00 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/42 saves · 6 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
